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Customer Retention Marketing: Why 65% of Vanguard’s New Applications Were From Existing Customers

Dr. Koen Pauwels·May 2026

Customer Retention Marketing: Why 65% of Vanguard’s New Applications Were From Existing Customers
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Customer retention marketing works because existing customers rarely know a company’s full product range. This matters because CAC-to-lifetime-value thinking treats existing customers as free revenue, when reminder ads still cost real money. Without retention spend, brands miss cross-sell opportunities, the same blind spot that led Vanguard’s CEO to ask why 65% of applications came from existing customers. This video explains why acquisition and retention both belong in the marketing P&L. 

Why Customer Retention Marketing Isn’t Actually Free 

Customer retention marketing isn’t actually free, because CAC-to-lifetime-value thinking quietly assumes existing customers convert again on their own, when reminder ads and emails that bring them back still cost real money. In this conversation, Jon Lorenzini and John Wallace of LiftLab talk with Dr. Koen Pauwels of Northeastern University about why acquisition metrics have come to dominate marketing budgets at retention’s expense. Lorenzini argues that CAC-to-lifetime-value is overvalued precisely because it’s treated as a given rather than a real, ongoing cost, an assumption that doesn’t hold outside of genuinely locked-in relationships like a phone contract or a life insurance policy. 

Wallace pushes back on a common finance shortcut: brands with no ongoing obligation from their customers, he cites L’Occitane as an example, will keep marketing to those customers regardless, whether through email or direct mail, and that spend needs to be accounted for rather than folded entirely into new customer acquisition. Dr. Pauwels illustrates the stakes with a story from a Vanguard board meeting: after investing in online display and reminder advertising, Vanguard’s CEO was startled to learn that 65% of new product applications were coming from existing customers, not new ones. The explanation was simple: existing customers assumed they already knew everything Vanguard offered, when in fact a reminder ad was often the first time they learned about a second product entirely. 

In this video, you’ll learn: 

  • Why the focus on acquisition metrics often undervalues existing customers 

  • How to balance high-cost acquisition ads with affordable retention strategies 

  • The common marketing fallacy that existing clients understand the entire service portfolio 

  • Why ignoring marketing spend on existing customers distorts the profit and loss statement 

  • How data-driven reminders can drive significant cross-selling and product discovery 

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Full Video Transcript: Customer Retention Marketing Explained

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In this video, Jon Lorenzini, John Wallace, and Dr. Koen Pauwels discuss why customer retention marketing deserves the same rigor as acquisition, including a real example from Vanguard. 

[0:00 – 0:40] Balancing New and Existing Customer Marketing 

 [Jon Lorenzini]: I think that’s very relevant, the new versus existing. You know, you talked about your fax strategy, your beeper strategy, your phone strategy from before. But the in-vogue metrics from a finance side is your CAC versus lifetime value, which is very much that new customer focus. So from what I hear, the mix of your media depends on your customer segmentation, one being educating your customer, forming a relationship, which might be more costly, might be higher impact, higher cost ads, might grow your business, while reminders and emails, maybe those are more affordable ways of reaching out to your existing customers. 

[0:41 – 1:08] The Overvaluation of CAC to LTV Metrics  

[Jon Lorenzini]: And I do think that this CAC to lifetime value metric is overvalued for marketers, because it does cost money, and this is something John and I talk a lot about internally. Getting an existing customer to convert again still sometimes requires reminders and ads, and they’re not free. That’s unless you’re locking into a Verizon contract, or a life insurance policy. Applying them across all industries is a little arbitrary or extreme. 

[1:10 – 1:47] Finance and Marketing P&L Realities  

[John Wallace]: Well, I mean, what I found is that’s a shortcut that folks have done that I can’t get on board with. Yeah, if you have a company like L’Occitane, I’m under no obligation ever to buy there again, so they’re going to keep marketing to me. And the question was, should they use email or should they use direct mail. But in the finance, in the counting of this, I’ve seen too many companies ignore that spend and just put all the spend against acquiring new customers. And I just don’t think that’s the right finance for running a marketing P&L, to say, I spend all my money to acquire customers and everyone else comes back for free. 

[1:48 – 2:55] Education and Reminders: The Vanguard Case Study  

[Jon Lorenzini]: I completely agree. I mean, some people, and I think the 90s kind of marketing folks, were very much on, hey, it costs so much more to acquire a new one than to retain one, with an overfocus on retention. I think a lot of times in this century we have an overfocus on acquisition and then just think we don’t have to remind anyone of anything. 

[Dr. Koen Pauwels]: A very quick example from outside marketing: Vanguard, the big investment company, they started doing a lot of online display and reminders and so forth. And there’s a very fun board meeting that is captured on video, but they’re looking at the dashboard, I teach with dashboards and I typically show this one, and it’s the CEO saying, “Hey, this is interesting, all of these things we’re doing for customer acquisition, 65% of the applications are from our existing customers. How on earth is that possible?” And of course it turns out that as a marketer you think that your existing customers know your whole portfolio, but they don’t. So these online ads to existing customers were like, “Oh, I go to this investment and banking company for one service, I didn’t know they also did this.” And so sometimes these reminder things are fantastically useful. 

Key Lessons: Why Retention Marketing Belongs in the Budget 

  • Marketing strategy: Balancing acquisition and retention is vital, as neither is truly free. 

  • Financial reporting: Relying solely on acquisition metrics can lead to inaccurate marketing profit and loss assessments. 

  • Customer education: Companies must proactively inform current customers about the full breadth of their offerings to unlock value. 

  • Real-world application: Large institutions like Vanguard have discovered that significant growth frequently comes from within their own existing user base. 

About Dr. Koen Pauwels: Distinguished Professor, Northeastern University

Dr. Koen Pauwels

Dr. Koen PauwelsDistinguished Professor, Northeastern University

Dr. Koen Pauwels is a Belgian-American marketing professor and Distinguished Professor of Marketing at Northeastern University’s D’Amore-McKim School of Business, with a PhD from UCLA. He’s Editor-in-Chief of the International Journal of Research in Marketing and a former president of the American Marketing Association’s Academic Council. In 2023, Marketing Week named him the “Best Marketing Academic on the Planet.” Stanford ranks him among the top 2% of scientists worldwide. 

About John Wallace: LiftLab CEO and MMM Expert

John Wallace

John WallaceCEO, LiftLab

John Wallace is a senior product leader pioneering privacy-first marketing analytics and experimentation platforms. Deeply versed in marketing mix modeling, incrementality analysis, and media experimentation, currently, he’s empowering 100+ enterprise clients including Sephora, Skims, and Tory Burch with economic modeling and media experimentation.

About Jon Lorenzini: Chief Marketing Science Officer, LiftLab

Jon Lorenzini

Jon LorenziniChief Marketing Science Officer, LiftLab

Jon Lorenzini is Chief Marketing Science Officer at LiftLab, where he plays a crucial role in helping advertisers make informed decisions on where to cut or add their next marketing dollar, bridging business strategy, technical measurement, and go-to-market execution to align with client outcomes, pain points, and company objectives. Previously, he has led marketing science teams inside companies such as Google, Facebook, and Snap.

Customer Retention Marketing: Why 65% of Vanguard’s New Applications Were From Existing Customers
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